Russia–Myanmar Nuclear and Space Deals: Why Ethnic Minorities Should Be Concerned

In September 2025, Myanmar’s military leader Min Aung Hlaing went to Russia. He came back with two big agreements:

  1. A nuclear power roadmap with Rosatom.

  2. A space cooperation deal with Roscosmos.

The junta says these are for “peaceful use,” but history shows that projects like this often have hidden dangers, especially for ethnic communities.

What Happened

  • Nuclear Deal: Russia will help Myanmar build a small nuclear reactor (about 110 MW), with plans running through 2026.

  • Space Deal: Russia will train Myanmar officials in satellites, navigation, and Earth observation.

  • New Space Agency: In July 2025, the junta set up a Myanmar Space Agency under Min Aung Hlaing’s direct control.

  • No Safety Pause: Even after a March 2025 earthquake, Russia promised to push forward with the nuclear plan.

Sources: Irrawaddy (2025), Nikkei Asia (2025), TASS (2025).

Why Ethnic Minorities Are at Risk

  1. Better War Targeting
    Satellites and navigation tools could help the army aim bombs more precisely at villages, clinics, and camps in ethnic regions.

  2. More Surveillance
    New space technology can be used to spy on people’s movements and track where aid and refugees go.

  3. Land Grabs
    A nuclear site requires land, military guards, and new roads. In Myanmar, this usually means displacing local people, especially in areas rich in forests and minerals.

  4. Earthquake Danger
    Myanmar is prone to earthquakes and floods. A nuclear accident could poison rivers and farms, and ethnic people would be the first to suffer.

  5. International Legitimacy for the Junta
    Deals with Russia make the junta look like a recognized government, while ethnic leaders are left out.

Could This Lead to Nuclear Weapons?

Yes, it is possible.

  • Reactors make fuel waste that contains plutonium, which can be used for bombs if reprocessed.

  • If Myanmar builds uranium enrichment or reprocessing plants, it could secretly move toward weapons.

  • Without strict IAEA inspections, the risk grows.

The junta’s history of secrecy makes this scenario concerning.

Final Word

Russia’s deals with Myanmar’s junta are not just about “power” and “peace.” They give the military new tools to watch, target, and displace ethnic communities. They could even open the door to nuclear weapons.

Ethnic communities and their allies must act now: protect people, block harmful projects, and build local strength.

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